Think about this your election cheat sheet to seek out out what Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are promising to do as they vie for the nation’s highest workplace. Right here’s the place the candidates stand on high financial and private finance points.
Each presidential candidates need to decrease costs and gradual inflation, however whether or not a president can immediately achieve this is much less sure. Inflation, as measured by the buyer value index, has already slowed to 2.4%, nicely off its pandemic-fueled peak.
Trump:
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Place tariffs on imports. Trump desires to put a ten% to twenty% tariff on all overseas imports; as much as 60% tariff on imports from China; and 100% to 200% imports on cars produced in Mexico. He says his tariffs would assist U.S. manufacturing and lift income. However specialists from everywhere in the political spectrum say that his tariff plan is extra prone to improve costs within the U.S.
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Decrease fuel costs. Trump has pledged to extend oil and fuel manufacturing on federal lands. The president’s skill to decrease fuel costs is restricted as the value on the pump is extra immediately influenced by world market forces.
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Weaken the facility of the Federal Reserve. Trump says he desires to carry the Federal Reserve beneath the facility of the president; specialists say it may weaken the central financial institution’s credibility in making rate of interest selections.
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Cap bank card rates of interest at round 10%. The typical bank card rate of interest is 21.51%, based on Federal Reserve information from Might 2024. It will require Congress to enact and would doubtless face authorized pushback.
Harris:
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Ban value gouging. Harris desires to create guidelines that might forestall company grocers from elevating costs arbitrarily. The ban would require approval by Congress. Critics say her plan is especially an election promise moderately than a sound financial coverage.
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Decrease prescription drug prices. Harris plans to increase to all People a $35 cap on insulin and $2,000 cap on out-of-pocket bills for seniors. She additionally desires to make it faster and simpler for Medicare and different federal packages to barter prescription drug costs. Specialists say her plans could possibly be efficient in bringing down prices, however will face pushback from Huge Pharma lobbyists.
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Enhance the minimal wage. Harris says she would push to lift the federal minimal wage to at the least $15 per hour, up from the present minimal wage of $7.25. The federal minimal wage hasn’t been touched since 2009 and elevating it will require approval in Congress.
The marketing campaign proposals that might most immediately affect customers are tax cuts and credit.
Trump:
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Prolong tax cuts in his 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act which can be expiring on the finish of subsequent yr. The TCJA contains property tax cuts and particular person earnings tax cuts.
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Change private earnings taxes with tariffs. His new plan would place a ten% across-the-board tariff on overseas imports with way more for China. Extra on that above.
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Decrease the company tax charge by one proportion level. Trump desires to chop the company tax charge from 21% to twenty%.
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Implement R&D tax credit for companies. The tax credit would permit companies to put in writing off 100% of bills in its first yr, together with equipment and tools. It’s a reversal of his 2017 tax cuts that phased out write-offs for R&D bills in a enterprise’ first yr.
Harris:
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Enhance taxes for the rich. Harris desires to lift the online funding earnings tax as much as 5% on these with incomes above $400,000. She additionally desires to extend the very best tax charge on long-term capital positive aspects to twenty-eight% on taxable earnings above $1 million.
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Enhance taxes for companies.
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Develop Baby Tax Credit score: Harris desires to extend the credit score to $6,000 for kids beneath the age of 1; $3,600 for kids ages 2-5; and $3,000 for older youngsters.
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Completely prolong the expanded premium tax credit for many who buy medical health insurance by means of the medical health insurance market.
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Enhance tax incentives for small companies. A rise in federal tax incentives from $5,000 to $50,000. The deduction can be obtainable to new companies till they flip a revenue. The motivation feeds into her purpose of making 25 million new small companies within the subsequent 4 years.
No tax on suggestions: The candidates’ goals are vastly completely different, however there’s one proposal they each assist: exempting staff from paying taxes on their suggestions. However specialists say it’s simply dangerous coverage that doesn’t get to the basic wants of tipped staff.
In relation to well being care, the candidates have been mild on the small print, though each candidates promise to guard Medicare. Right here’s the place they differ.
Trump:
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Revisit the Reasonably priced Care Act. Trump tried to repeal and substitute the Reasonably priced Care Act in his first time period, however was unsuccessful. In the course of the presidential debate on Sept. 10, he was requested if he would strive once more. In response, Trump mentioned he had solely “ideas” of a brand new plan.
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Push for vitro fertilization (IVF) protection. Trump has mentioned the federal government or insurance coverage corporations ought to cowl IVF, although many within the GOP oppose the thought.
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Go away abortion legal guidelines as much as the states. He says he would veto any federal ban on abortion.
Harris:
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Develop Medicare protection to incorporate long-term care together with at-home take care of seniors and people with disabilities. She additionally guarantees to supply imaginative and prescient and listening to advantages for seniors beneath Medicare.
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Work with states to remove medical debt.
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Decrease prescription drug prices. See above.
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Restore federal protections for abortion entry beneath Roe v. Wade. Harris additionally guarantees to make sure there’ll by no means be a federal ban on abortion.
Harris desires to extend housing and make it extra reasonably priced whereas Trump has emphasised market-driven options. There are two areas that each candidates agree:
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Open up federal lands for brand spanking new housing developments. Neither has specified which lands that would come with, however specialists say a lot of the federally held land wouldn’t be ideally suited for creating new housing. There’s priority for utilizing federal land to construct housing; most obtainable land is within the West.
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Reduce pink tape. Decreasing regulatory burden has bipartisan assist, however most housing reform would must be executed on the native stage to have an effect.
Harris:
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Construct 3 million new houses over 4 years. Specialists say her proposals would doubtless spur extra new housing creation, however constructing 3 million new houses in that wanting a time period is unlikely.
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Add tax incentives for dwelling builders. Harris proposed a brand new Neighborhood Properties Tax Credit score to create 400,000 new owner-occupied houses in decrease earnings communities and a tax break for builders that assemble reasonably priced starter houses.
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Create a $40 billion innovation fund to incentivize stakeholders — state and native governments, in addition to non-public builders and homebuilders — to seek out new methods to increase the housing provide.
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Introduce $25,000 in down cost help for first-time dwelling consumers. It will be even larger for first-generation dwelling consumers, however has not elaborated how a lot. It’s unclear how it will be applied and specialists say that and not using a greater housing inventory, her plan received’t work.
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Decrease lease and stop price-fixing amongst company landlords. Specialists are skeptical that her plans would decrease lease. Nevertheless, if a big inventory of latest housing is created, it may alleviate some value pressures on the rental market.
Trump:
Past deregulation and opening up federal lands for dwelling constructing, Trump’s plans have been sparse in the case of housing. Nevertheless, specialists say that his plans to deport thousands and thousands of unauthorized immigrants may drive up housing costs because the building trade is reliant on immigrant labor.
As president, Harris would doubtless champion scholar mortgage reduction and free neighborhood faculty. Trump would doubtless limit or dismantle mortgage forgiveness and promote entry to non-traditional levels.
Trump:
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Curb debt cancellation. Trump would doubtless not assist broad scholar mortgage cancellation or strengthening different forgiveness plans that the Biden-Harris administration has championed. Trump has additionally mentioned that entry to present mortgage forgiveness needs to be restricted, together with the Public Service Mortgage Forgiveness (PSLF) program.
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Dissolve SAVE. Trump is prone to strike down SAVE, an income-driven compensation program that’s at the moment caught up in authorized challenges.
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Help vocational coaching. Trump’s platform says it will assist creating “drastically extra reasonably priced options to a conventional four-year faculty diploma.”
Harris:
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Help “Plan B” scholar mortgage forgiveness. Harris would doubtless assist Biden’s “Plan B” that would cut back or remove accrued curiosity for 23 million debtors who owe greater than they initially borrowed. The plan is at the moment wrapped up in state authorized battles.
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Help SAVE and different income-driven compensation plans. Harris would doubtless assist the SAVE compensation plan by means of authorized battles. She would additionally assist the continuation of different income-driven compensation plans, together with PSLF, in addition to the borrower protection to compensation program that protects debtors who’re defrauded or misled by their schools.
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Champion free neighborhood faculty and commerce faculty schooling. She additionally says she desires to subsidize tuition at Minority Serving Establishments, together with Traditionally Black Schools and Universities (HBCUs).
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Develop the Pell Grant. She plans to increase grants to 7 million college students and double the utmost award by 2029. Pell Grants are given to undergraduates from low-income backgrounds and are at the moment as much as $7,395 per yr.
Trump’s plan to deport unauthorized immigrants, en masse, would have unintended, however vital financial penalties together with:
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Growing prices economy-wide. Lowered labor provide that might improve prices for companies and, finally, be handed right down to the buyer. It will particularly affect the hospitality and repair industries that depend on immigrant staff.
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Driving up meals costs. Immigrants make up a big portion of the agricultural workforce. With out that labor, the meals provide within the U.S. may tighten, which might drive up costs.
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Slowing housing building since immigrants play an enormous half within the creation of housing within the U.S. This might additional worsen the nation’s reasonably priced housing scarcity.
Pay attention: Sensible Cash’s 2024 Presidential Election Collection
Hosts Sean Pyles and Anna Helhoski talk about the grand financial guarantees made by presidential candidates and the intricate realities of presidential affect on the financial system that will help you perceive the true results in your every day funds.
Photograph of former President Donald Trump by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Photographs Information through Getty Photographs.
Photograph of Vice President Kamala Harris by Brandon Bell/Getty Photographs Information through Getty Photographs.